2010-11 Fantasy basketball mock draft w/ Weakside Help: Round 7

75. Gilbert Arenas (joins C. Paul, C. Bosh, J. Johnson, R. Gay, M. Williams, C. Kaman): Oh yes, I went there. First the reasons not to like this pick: his knee, his love for absolutely obliterating fantasy owners in recent years, John Wall, his shift to SG, rust and a potential trade that could send him to Orlando, where he’d have even less value. Now the reasons to dig this pick: plenty of rest for his knee, career averages of 22.7/4.2/5.6 along with 1.7 steals and 2.1 threes and Wall, who will take over ballhandling duties, which will push down Arenas’ turnovers and create better looks for him (read: higher FG%). Do the risks outnumber the reasons for optimism? Yes. Does that make Arenas something of a gamble anywhere north of round eight or nine? Yes. Will his numbers take a step back this season? Yes. Is there a fighter’s chance that Agent Zero could end up exceeding all expectations and finish the season with top-40 value? Absolutely. Arenas is the poster child of a player who carries just as much fantasy baggage as real-life baggage, which makes him very unappealing. But with memories of his fantasy stardom so far in the back of many owners’ memories and with his unappealing situation in Washington, it’s quite possible that expectations for Arenas are too low. I don’t think he’ll completely thrive in his SG role, but I do think his knack for knocking down tons of threes and stealing bunches of balls isn’t going away because of that. Keep in mind that the Wizards dealt away two of their biggest offensive weapons last season while Arenas was buried in off-court troubles, which means plenty of shots are still available for him in D.C. I loved the Kaman pick and I love this pick, especially since the team was getting a little boring. Who better to spice things up a bit than Hibachi himself?

76. Vince Carter (joins D. Nowitzki, J. Kidd, A. Iguodala, A. Jamison, A. Brooks, M. Beasley): VC has a bad reputation, and for good reason. He’s a softie on the court and settles for jumpers more than he should. But for fantasy purposes, he’s still a very useful player. Though he shoots the ball poorly from the field, he’s still good for 1.5+ threes, 17/4/4 per game, not to mention strong shooting from the free-throw line. And believe it or not, Carter’s soft play may be making him a more reliable player — he’s only missed 18 games in his past five seasons. Tack on the possibility that he’ll be more comfortable in Orlando this season and it’s clear that Carter should be able to easily justify his selection at No. 76. Beasley (who I wasn’t sold on in the sixth round) and Carter as back-to-back picks may cement this team as the least likable of the bunch so far. It looks healthy in threes and FT%, but I’m not sure if it really stands out anywhere else. Also, this team needs a center like Kanye West needs lessons in humility — I just thought it was too early to reach for one.

77. Ray Allen (joins K. Bryant, A. Jefferson, M. Ellis, M. Gasol, R. Felton, L. Scola): This team had a lot going for it heading into this round and Allen falling to it this late in the draft is a potential steal. We all know his value — threes, strong shooting percentages and solid all-around numbers, albeit in muted volumes. The one potential weakness for this squad is threes, which Allen should help shore up. Other than that, this pick really doesn’t need much commentary. I just hope we can find a solid SF for this team sooner than later.

78. Paul Millsap (joins D. Granger, J. Smith, N. Hilario, D. Rose, J. Richardson, J. Crawford): The perennial sleeper should finally have a chance to wake up this year in Utah. It seems that he’s set to inherit the starting PF spot and play alongside Al Jefferson, making Mehmet Okur the biggest loser on the Jazz this summer. Then again, on the off-chance that Millsap is relegated to sixth-man status yet again, this pick will prove to be a bit hasty. He’ll be drafted earlier than this in many drafts, but with the addition of such a strong rebounder who mixes it up inside like Jefferson does, it’s tough to see Millsap putting up steady double-doubles. No. 78 seems just right for him, and on a team that used its last three picks on guards, this is a pleasing selection. This team now has four players who can feasibly average 1+ steals and 1+ blocks per game each, which is quite sexy.

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