Top 150 fantasy players for 2009-10

by on Sep.23, 2009, under Rankings

It’s finally here: our list of the top 150 fantasy NBA players for the 2009-10 season.

We’ve already taken an in-depth look at the first, second, third and fourth rounds of our projected fantasy picks this season. The list below includes those rankings, along with the rest of them.

There is obviously room for debate here, so make your opinions heard by commenting below.

These rankings will be updated throughout the season.

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Fantasy draft rankings: Round 4

by on Aug.20, 2009, under Rankings

These rankings are based on a 12-team, head-to-head league with nine categories (FG%, FT%, 3PTM, points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, turnovers).

See Round 1, Round 2 and Round 3.

  1. Troy Murphy: Murphy was a surprising stud last season and was relatively healthy, too.  His stats were helped by Mike Dunleavy’s absence for most of the season, and with Dunleavy’s return date still up in the air, Murphy could be a real steal here.  If news on Dunleavy is bleak by the start of the season, feel free to knock Murphy up into the top 25 in your draft.
  2. Gilbert Arenas: Agent Zero will be one of the most hyped up players in your drafts, and for good reason.  With good news about his health making waves, Arenas could end up being a top 10 player this year when all is said and done.  However, three knee surgeries are nothing to scoff at.  Like Murphy, Arenas could be an absolute steal here.
  3. Rondo was a beast in the playoffs and should be a stud for the Celtics this season.  (Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images)

    Rondo was a beast in the playoffs and should be a stud for the Celtics this season. (Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images)

    Rajon Rondo: Rondo put up some incredible numbers in this past season’s playoffs, averaging close to a triple-double against the Chicago Bulls in the first round.  There were some murmurs of some friction with coach Doc Rivers recently, but Rondo appears ready to carry a big chunk of the load for this aging Boston Celtics team.  He would be much higher if he made more threes and shot a higher percentage from the free throw line.

  4. Monta Ellis: His bum ankle has had plenty of time to heal and rest by now, which means Ellis should be ready to tear it up this season.  Barring any setbacks or coach Don Nelson’s mad scheming, Ellis should be a serious contributor to any fantasy squad this year.
  5. Vince Carter: Carter had a very solid year for the New Jersey Nets in 2008-09.  He’ll probably encounter some inconsistency in Orlando as he adjusts to playing with his new teammates, but his all-around game will still be there, albeit in slightly smaller doses.
  6. Jason Richardson: The Phoenix Suns will play faster with Shaquille O’Neal gone.  A faster pace means good things for Richardson and his three-point prowess.  Expect him to get his scoring average back into 20+ territory, with 2+ threes per night.
  7. Stephen Jackson: Jackson will see his production decline a bit with the pending return of Monta Ellis and the emergence of some of the young Warriors this season.  Still, there’s little doubt that he’s the steady floor leader for this team.  His low field goal percentage and high turnovers hurt, but his overall game is solid.
  8. Derrick Rose: Rose had a great rookie campaign and will undoubtedly build on that foundation.  Still, it’s hard to put him much higher because he rarely hits any three-pointers. Rose should be good for around 19 points and 7.5 assists per game, though his turnovers will likely increase as well.
  9. Baron Davis: Davis had a pretty dismal season last year, by his standards: 37.0 percent from the field, 3.0 turnovers and just 14.9 points per game, along with 17 missed games.  His health is always a major concern, but with a new-look roster that looks good on paper, Davis should be able to turn it around to some degree this season.
  10. Mehmet Okur: Okur could benefit big time if Carlos Boozer is traded before the trade deadline this season.  Even if Boozer remains, Okur is a valuable big man who can hit a three-pointer or two per game while shooting high percentages from the field and the free throw line.  He’s not the most exciting player, but his fantasy value shouldn’t be overlooked.
  11. Ray Allen: He’s a ripe 34 years old entering this season, but Allen is still deadly from three-point territory.  Tack on efficient shooting percentages and low turnovers and it’s easy to see why Allen is such a valuable fantasy asset.
  12. O.J. Mayo: Mayo had a very solid rookie campaign and should easily build on those numbers on the lowly (but improved) Memphis Grizzlies this season.  If the Grizzlies somehow land Allen Iverson, Mayo’s value will take a hit, but that seems like a very unlikely possibility.
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Fantasy draft rankings: Round 3

by on Aug.13, 2009, under Rankings

These rankings are based on a 12-team, head-to-head league with nine categories (FG%, FT%, 3PTM, points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, turnovers).

See Round1 and Round 2.

  1. Martin is a natural scorer who has a knack for having big games, but his health is always a concern.  (Flickr/Arranging Matches)

    Martin is a natural scorer who has a knack for having big games, but his health is always a concern. (Flickr/Arranging Matches)

    Kevin Martin:  The star shooting guard on the Sacramento Kings can put up points in huge bunches with ease, but his streaky health is what pushes his value to the third round.

  2. Josh Smith:  His last season was bad, by his standards, but expect him to return to form this year.  Smith’s steals and blocks per game are what give him so much value.  If his free throw shooting improves, he’ll be a steal here.
  3. Devin Harris:  His last season was a breakout party, though it was hampered by injuries.  Harris is the unquestioned top dog in New Jersey now.  As the leader of a motley crew of unproven players, Harris is in for big stats, along with lots of turnovers.
  4. Gerald Wallace:  Crash played well last year, bringing his field goal and free throw percentages up to admirable levels.  He’s always a stat monster, akin to Smith, but he’s a surefire bet to miss at least a handful of games every season, this one included.
  5. Brook Lopez:  Lopez will also benefit from the lack of proven talent on the Nets roster, and after turning in a stellar rookie campaign he’s sure to build on those stats.  He probably won’t be having double-doubles every night, but with high shooting percentages and a couple blocks per game, you shouldn’t let Lopez fly under your radar.
  6. Shawn Marion:  This might be a bit hopeful for Marion, who has had a pretty mediocre fantasy season last year.  But a bounce back to fantasy eliteness isn’t too far off with the likes of Jason Kidd running the point in Dallas.  Don’t feel bad if you pass on him until the fourth or fifth round, but don’t forget about this former fantasy stud.
  7. Carlos Boozer:  Boozer had a rough season in 2008-09, due to a knee injury that forced him to miss 45 games.  His career has been riddled with injuries, minor and major, but if he’s healthy, Boozer is a nearly-guaranteed 20/10 guy.  There are still rumors about him being traded, in which case his value may be slightly affected.
  8. David West:  His 20/9, along with solid shooting percentages, makes West a steadying force on fantasy rosters.  His game should be affected positively by Emeka Okafor’s presence on the court, since he’s more of a back-to-the-basket player than Tyson Chandler was.  Okafor could draw enough defensive attention to give West a bit more room to hit those mid-range jumpers that he’s mastered.
  9. Jameer Nelson:  He was an absolute beast before his shoulder injury last season.  With Rafer Alston out of town, Nelson won’t have to worry much about playing time.  It’s likely that he’ll be fine for the season opener, which means he’ll continue to put up great all around numbers, along with fantastic shooting percentages.  With a deeper team this year, Nelson’s assists have the potential to rise as well.
  10. Rashard Lewis:  He’ll miss the first 10 games of the season, and his ability to gel with a revamped roster is questionable, but Lewis remains one of the most efficient fantasy players in the league.  He’s a huge help in three-pointers, and though none of his other numbers are breathtaking, Lewis always manages to sneak into the list of the top fantasy players after each season.
  11. Paul Pierce:  Hopefully, Pierce took the summer to recoup from a long and tolling playoffs and regular season last year.  With Kevin Garnett looking good to return, along with the addition of Rasheed Wallace to the roster, Pierce won’t have as much of the offensive or defensive load to shoulder, which should do wonders to preserve his energy as the season progresses.  He’ll continue to be a strong all-around player, but his points will likely decline a bit.
  12. LaMarcus Aldridge:  Another efficient big man who won’t stun you with his game-to-game numbers.  With low turnovers, good shooting percentages and steady stream of a steal and a block per game, Aldridge could easily go higher than this.
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Rotoworld’s mock draft results

by on Aug.10, 2009, under Rankings

Rotoworld, a top-notch source for frequently and instantly updated fantasy NBA news and buzz, recently posted results from a mock draft it organized with people from various basketball media outlets.  The first three rounds are posted, and the later rounds are summarized.

Here are the results for the first three rounds:

Round 1:

Is Howard a first round pick? Probably not, given his dismal free-throw shooting and frequent turnovers.  (Flickr/Keith Allison)

Is Howard a first round pick? Probably not, given his dismal free-throw shooting and frequent turnovers. (Flickr/Keith Allison)

1. LeBron James
2. Chris Paul
3. Dwyane Wade
4. Kobe Bryant
5. Danny Granger
6. Kevin Durant
7. Dirk Nowitzki
8. Amar’e Stoudemire
9. Brandon Roy
10. Dwight Howard
11. Pau Gasol
12. Chris Bosh

Round 2:

13. Deron Williams
14. Jose Calderon
15. Al Jefferson
16. Caron Butler
17. Chauncey Billups
18. Kevin Garnett
19. Steve Nash
20. Kevin Martin
21. Antawn Jamison
22. Andre Iguodala
23. Carmelo Anthony
24. Joe Johnson

Round 3:

25. Tim Duncan
26. Derrick Rose
27. LaMarcus Aldridge
28. Devin Harris
29. Rashard Lewis
30. Josh Smith
31. Carlos Boozer
32. Vince Carter
33. Elton Brand
34. Gerald Wallace
35. Brook Lopez
36. Troy Murphy

See the actual results post at Rotoworld to read reactions from the fantastic Steve Alexander.

All in all, the first two rounds are about in line with projected rankings that we posted here for rounds one and two, with a few exceptions of course.

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Fantasy draft rankings: Round 2

by on Aug.06, 2009, under Rankings

These rankings are based on a 12-team, head-to-head league with nine categories (FG%, FT%, 3PTM, points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, turnovers).

See Round 1 here.

  1. Brandon Roy: Roy just signed a five-year extension with the Portland Trail Blazers for between $72 million to $82 million.  This is big bucks for a big-time player.  After notching rookie of the year honors, the aptly named Roy has gone on to have two all-star seasons for the Trail Blazers.  With Andre Miller on board, Roy will have less ball handling duties, which could impact his assists in minor fashion, but could mean that he breaks the 24-ppg mark this season.  He’s a reliable all-around player who could easily be taken in the first round of most drafts.
  2. A healthy Butler means big stats for your fantasy roster. (Flickr/Keith Allison)

    A healthy Butler means big stats for your fantasy roster. (Flickr/Keith Allison)

    Caron Butler:  The productive small forward for the Washington Wizards played well last season but struggled because of nagging injuries.  Assuming he starts this year healthy, and assuming that Gilbert Arenas will be running the show again in D.C., Tough Juice should return to prime form this season.  With Arenas hopefully back, Butler’s turnovers will most likely decrease.  Having Mike Miller on board should also lighten Butler’s physical burden.

  3. Andre Iguodala:  AI9, as Iguodala dubs himself on Twitter, has already proven that he can put together fantastic all-around numbers.  His battle this year will be for more consistency.  With the departure of Miller, Iguodala now takes the reins as the on-court leader of this team.  A healthy Elton Brand will affect Iguodala’s stats in a positive way, but that is far from a certainty.  Expect him to break through the 20-ppg barrier, hand out more assists and, consequently, more turnovers.
  4. Joe Johnson:  Another great all-around producer, Johnson doesn’t really hurt you anywhere.  His near-guaranteed minutes in the Atlanta Hawks lineup also helps to make him a reliable stud in fantasy leagues.  Expect him to pick up right where he left off, with averages of 20/4/6 with 2 three-pointers per game as reasonable expectations.
  5. Jason Kidd:  He’ll start the season at 36 years old, but that won’t keep him from flirting with triple-doubles every now and then.  Kidd’s field goal percentage (41.6 percent last season) is painful, but his three-point shooting, free-throw shooting and all around game (not to mention his ability to make two thefts per game) still make him a valuable asset on your fantasy roster.  With the addition of Shawn Marion on the Dallas Mavericks, expect Kidd to have a couple more easy opportunities for assists each game.  Don’t let the absence of double digits on his stat sheet fool you: Kidd can still play.
  6. Chauncey Billups:  Yes, Billups is entering this season at 33 years of age, but his game is crafted for longevity.  His efficiency is what makes him so valuable every year and that shouldn’t change this season.
  7. Jose Calderon:  Placing the Spaniard this high in the second round may be a bit hopeful, but the man can play.  He put up solid figures in 68 games last season, all the while struggling to play through a nagging hamstring injury.  With his health fully back and with a new sharpshooter in Hedo Turkoglu to find out on the perimeter, Calderon could finally break into double-double territory.
  8. Steve Nash:  He’s old (35) but with the Phoenix Suns’ Shaq-free roster looking more like it did under Mike D’Antoni, Nash’s stats could see a small revival this season.  Nash is also one of the most efficient players in the entire league, with stunning shooting percentages all around.
  9. Dwight Howard:  Some will be surprised to see him this low, but with crippling free-throw shooting and lots of turnovers it’s hard to put Howard higher than this.  True, he’ll almost single-handedly win you rebounds and blocks each week, but he’ll also almost submerge your team’s free throw percentage.  You know what you’ll get with Howard, and if you can structure your team to accommodate his weaknesses, he’s as great as they come.
  10. Tim Duncan:  Duncan is a lock for about 19/11 with 2 blocks per game.  His free-throw percentage is the only thing to frown at.  Otherwise, Duncan is always a steadying presence on any fantasy roster.
  11. Kevin Garnett:  If he’s healthy, expect KG to come back with a vengeance.  While it’s sometimes dangerous to use a player’s personal attributes as the basis for fantasy expectations, Garnett’s fire and hunger cannot be ignored here.  He won’t see more than 32 minutes per game, but his high shooting percentages and consistent mix of steals, blocks and rebounds still make him valuable in fantasy leagues.  Just know that he carries more injury risk now than we’re accustomed to.
  12. Antawn Jamison:  For some reason, Jamison always seem to be underrated in most fantasy leagues.  Nevertheless, he remains a very helpful power forward who is good for one or two three-pointers per night, along with 20+ points and 8+ rebounds.
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