Tag: greg oden
It’s easy to make unreasonably quick conclusions about fantasy players in the beginning of the season, so as we arrive at the end of the first full week of 2009-10 NBA action, it’s time to assess how good of an indicator it was for a handful of players.
Below is a quick list of some fantasy forecasts for some players, along with a “SINK” or “SWIM” conclusion for each, conveying whether the early presumptions are justified or not.
It’s a bit early to be certain about almost anyone (hence the title of this post) but for impatient fantasy owners out there maybe this will give you some comfort, or a serving of cold, hard truth.
- Carmelo Anthony will remain more valuable than LeBron James and Chris Paul: No one deny that Melo is absolutely bananas so far this young season. But remember that he’s only played three games so far and that J.R. Smith, who should average 16+ points per game this season, hasn’t played yet due to suspension. (continue reading…)
With the preseason now over and just day separating us from the blinding glory that is the 2009-10 NBA regular season, it’s time to go through who thrived and who dived (I know “dove” is correct here, but I had to make it rhyme) during the prelude to the 82. Though the preseason is never a completely accurate barometer of things to come, it could give us some insights into what to expect from certain players.
Read on and let us know what you think. (continue reading…)
It’s official: you can take Andre Miller’s name off of this morning’s post about the top 10 available free agents.
The underrated point guard has left the Philadelphia 76ers to join the Portland Trail Blazers, reportedly signing a 3-year deal worth $21 million, with $14 million guaranteed and the other $7 million as a third-year option.
Let’s get right to it.
Miller now has many offensive options to pass the ball to. Last season, with Elton Brand out for the majority of the year, Andre Iguodala was essentially the only reliable teammate Miller had on offense. As a Trail Blazer, he now has Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge as his go-to guys, not to mention other capable scorers like Rudy Fernandez and Travis Outlaw. Expect Miller’s numbers to return to 2006-07 form, with 13 points, 4.5 rebounds and 8.5 assists per game as feasible expectations. It may take him a few weeks to get used to his new teammates, but expect nothing short of a strong fantasy season for the new Trail Blazer.
- Roy now has a very competent partner in the backcourt who can handle the ball in pressure situations. Don’t expect his numbers to change too drastically now that Miller’s here. His points will probably see a boost and his assists might see a minor dip, but any change in Roy’s nightly stats should help his overall fantasy value, which is already quite high. His development can only be helped by Miller’s presence.
- Aldridge was already on an upward climb and the addition of Miller shouldn’t change that too much. It will be interesting to see how Miller plays with Aldridge, given that the former 76ers point guard was only given 29 games to play with Brand, another skilled offensive power forward.
- Steve Blake, the starting point guard for the Trail Blazers, has the most to lose here. He’ll obviously see fewer minutes, which means that his fantasy value will be minor and only relevant in deeper leagues where his three-point shooting prowess will be helpful. It’s a shame because Blake was an underrated fantasy point guard and showed flashes of real talent last season.
- Greg Oden has resorted to seeing a psychologist to help him rebuild his confidence. Miller might do some to help in that area, too. While Oden’s teammates can offer encouragement through words, Miller will be able to encourage him the most on the court. Don’t expect a huge improvement from Oden, but his natural talent and his new point guard’s guidance will most likely breathe some new life into the discouraged big man. However, as always, his health is his worst enemy.
- Jerryd Bayless, the second-year point guard who has shown that he can play in this league, will see his playing time held down by Miller’s arrival.
- Louis Williams is the biggest winner here. He’s got the starting point guard job now and will see way more than the 23:41 per night he saw last season. Williams is a surefire scorer, but shoots a low percentage from the field. Look for about 15 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists per game from Williams, with a low field goal percentage.
- Jrue Holiday, the rookie point guard who is now the team’s second in command at the point, is still probably too raw to make any kind of fantasy impact this season. He’ll get more minutes than he would have if Miller had re-signed, but don’t get your hopes up too high for Holiday.
- Look for the rest of the 76ers roster to hurt a bit from Miller’s departure. Williams isn’t as much of a distributor as Miller was, and with two green point guards the 76ers’ offense will be a bit rough around the edges.