Tag: mike bibby
Studs: Joe Johnson, Josh Smith, Al Horford
Duds: Mike Bibby
The Atlanta Hawks are still a young, flawed team that has managed to attain some measure of success for the past two years. They haven’t made many improvements or moves this summer and still have to re-sign restricted free agent Marvin Williams, who should be able to turn in a strong fantasy season on the Hawks. If Williams does not re-sign, expect the efficient Maurice Evans to step into a more prominent role for the team.
Johnson, who is the clear leader of this team and the Hawks’ best fantasy player, should be in for another strong season with stats that are similar to his past two seasons. He’s as steady as they come and with the arrival of Jamal Crawford, Johnson should see some of the offensive load lifted of off his sometimes overburdened shoulders.
Speaking of Crawford, expect his role to be the offensive spark plug off of the bench. That said, he won’t see anywhere near the 38:36 per game he saw last year on the Golden State Warriors. Expect somewhere around 25 to 30 minutes a night with a couple offensive explosions every month. He’ll shoot better than he did last season, when he hit 40.6 percent from the field and 33.8 percent from behind the three-point line. Crawford will be more efficient this year, but he won’t be nearly as productive.
Bibby‘s value will be hurt the most from Crawford’s arrival. He did sign a new three-year deal in early July, but he’s also entering this season at 31 years old and will likely see some more rest. Crawford and newly drafted Jeff Teague will likely cut into Bibby’s minutes and production.
Smith took a step back last season, but now that he’s healthy expect him to return to 2007-08 form, which means he should be a fantasy stud this year who may have fallen off of many radars because of his disappointing 2008-09 season. Don’t fall into that crowd.
Horford struggled last year because of injuries but, like Smith, expect him to bounce back and take a step closer to being a solid NBA center this season. His scoring, rebounds and blocks should all see increases.
Relevant fantasy players and projected per-game stats:
PG: Mike Bibby (12 points, 3 rebounds, 4.5 assists, 1.5 threes)
SG: Joe Johnson (20 points, 4 rebounds, 6 assists, 2 threes)
SF: Marvin Williams* (13 points, 7 rebounds)
PF: Josh Smith (18 points, 8 rebounds, 3 assists, 1.5 steals, 2.5 blocks)
C: Al Horford (12 points, 10 rebounds, 2 blocks)
Bench: Jamal Crawford (12 points, 2 rebounds, 4 assists, 2 threes), Zaza Pachulia (6 points, 5 rebounds), Maurice Evans (7 points, 4 rebounds, 1.5 threes)
* if re-signed
Some quick ruminations from this past holiday weekend:
- Hedo Turkoglu signed with the Toronto Raptors on Friday after changing his mind about joining the Portland Trail Blazers. Besides giving the Raptors an even more European vibe, Turkoglu gives the team a dynamic scorer with a knack for clutch performances. Playing alongside a stellar point guard in Jose Calderon and Chris Bosh, a center who is more offensively skilled than Dwight Howard, Turkoglu will have plenty of opportunities to show off his offensive prowess. However, Bosh does not demand as much attention in the post as Howard, and the Raptors do not have a sharpshooter like Rashard Lewis to spread the floor even more, so expect Turkoglu’s scoring and assist numbers to dip a bit this season. Overall, his value will remain pretty steady, but expect him to suffer a mild case of post-big contract syndrome.
- Rasheed Wallace is joining Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen in Boston this year. This is a great move for the Celtics who have a capable low-post defender and a versatile scorer who can spread the floor for his teammates. While it’s unclear whether Wallace will start or not, he’ll see plenty of time at both the power forward and center positions and shouldn’t see his minutes dip too much from 32:12 last season. His value will take a hit since his offensive game will take a backseat, though he should see more open looks thanks to the presence of the Big Three and Rajon Rondo, an adept slasher who should get into the paint and find Wallace for plenty of open three-point looks. Expect his scoring to decline a bit and his shooting percentages to increase.
- Jason Kidd has verbally committed to re-sign with the Dallas Mavericks. He’s still a valuable asset to any team he’s on, but his fantasy impact has diminished considerably during the past two season. Expect his scoring to dip even further, possibly somewhere in the 8-8.5 points per game range. His rebounding and assists (6.2 and 8.7 per game, respectively) should remain steady. Kidd’s value remains the same. If you do end up drafting him, remember that his name carries a lot more value than his stats, which makes him great trade bait before the season actually begins.
- Mike Bibby is sticking with the Atlanta Hawks for another three years. His three-point shooting prowess (2.1 three-pointers made per game on 39.0 percent three-point shooting) was invaluable for the young Hawks last season, but with the addition of Jamal Crawford to the roster, Bibby’s production will likely decline. Crawford will bite into Bibby’s shots and minutes, so look to knock Bibby down a few spots on draft day.