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Fantasy Basketball Analysis: Back-to-Back-to-Back Games

by on Dec.23, 2011, under Other

Mike Brown, Pau Gasol

With Bynum's suspension, Kobe's wrist and an early back-to-back-to-back set, Gasol will be a workhorse in Week 1. Maybe pats on the head instead of punches to the chest will help, too. (AP Photo/Alex Gallardo)

The 2011-12 NBA schedule is peculiar, for various reasons. For one thing, not only will each team play 66 games (in the NBA’s 66th season, no less), but every team is slated to play at least one back-to-back-to-back set – that’s three games in three consecutive nights – at least once during the season. This obviously has implications for older teams/players, guys playing through injuries, etc. Here are a few quick observations:

  • The Lakers will be first to experience a back-to-back-to-back set, right from the Christmas Day start of the season. Given Andrew Bynum’s five-game suspension and Kobe Bryant’s bum shooting wrist, expect Pau Gasol to be heavily leaned on in the first week.
  • The Boston Celtics (Week 16), Cleveland Cavaliers (Week 16), Detroit Pistons (Week 17), Golden State Warriors (Week 17), Memphis Grizzlies (Week 15), Philadelphia 76ers (Week 17), San Antonio Spurs (Week 17) and Washington Wizards (Week 15) all have a back-to-back-to-back set during what could be your league’s fantasy playoffs. While this might seem like a windfall for the fantasy-relevant players on these squads, it’s more nuanced than that (injuries, veteran players in need of rest and playoff standings).
  • Having a back-to-back-to-back set doesn’t guarantee that the team will have five games that week (e.g., Minnesota Timberwolves in Week 10).
  • Some of these three-in-three sets start in one week and end in the next.
  • The New Orleans Hornets are the only team to have a back-to-back-to-back set in the shortened week before All-Star Weekend (Week 9), but they’re not the only team to have three games that week.
  • Twelve teams have two back-to-back-to-back sets; the remaining 18 have just one.

Here’s a look at when each NBA team has three-in-three sets this season: (continue reading…)

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NBA Player Stats: 2004-2011

by on Oct.05, 2011, under Other

Kevin Garnett, Minnesota

Youngsters might not remember, but back in Minnesota, KG was one B.A.M.F. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

Reddit is a wonderful thing. Reddit’s r/NBA subreddit just makes it even wonderfuller.

User Browsing_From_Work recently posted a spreadsheet including all NBA player stats from 2004-2011, scraped from NBA.com. Go have fun with it. (The best way to play with the data is to go to “File” –> “Download as” –> “Excel,” then sort and fiddle to your heart’s content.)

Using that data, here are the 10 most efficient individual player seasons from 2004-2011:

  1. LeBron James, 2009-10 (CLE): 32.42
  2. Kevin Garnett, 2004-05 (MIN): 31.96
  3. LeBron James, 2008-09 (CLE): 30.88
  4. Chris Paul, 2008-09 (NOH): 30.46
  5. LeBron James, 2007-08 (CLE): 30.33
  6. LeBron James, 2005-06 (CLE): 29.42
  7. Dwyane Wade, 2008-09 (MIA): 29.29
  8. Kevin Garnett, 2006-07 (MIN): 29.17
  9. Shawn Marion, 2005-06 (PHX): 28.85

Here are the 10 most efficient players in 2010-11:

  1. LeBron James (MIA): 28.58
  2. Kevin Love (MIN): 28.37
  3. Dwight Howard (ORL): 28.31
  4. Blake Griffin (LAC): 25.63
  5. Pau Gasol (LAL): 25.40
  6. Kevin Durant (OKC): 24.95
  7. Dwyane Wade (MIA): 24.78
  8. Amar’e Stoudemire (NYK): 24.59
  9. Zach Randolph (MEM): 24.43
  10. Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): 23.49

Do you notice any big names missing from these lists? What other interesting tidbits do you find in this data?

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Fantasy Basketball Team Analysis: 2011-12 Los Angeles Lakers

by on Oct.03, 2011, under Team analysis

Pau Gasol

Gasol is ready for...something... (Andrew D. Bernstein/NBAE via Getty Images)

Depth chart:
PG: Derek Fisher, Steve Blake, Andrew Goudelock
SG: Kobe Bryant, Shannon Brown*, Darius Morris, Trey Johnson
SF: Metta World Peace, Matt Barnes, Luke Walton, Devin Ebanks
PF: Pau Gasol, Lamar Odom, Derrick Caracter, Joe Smith*, Ater Majok
C: Andrew Bynum, Theo Ratliff*

* unrestricted free agent (continue reading…)

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The Top 150 Fantasy Basketball Players for 2011-12

by on Jul.13, 2011, under Rankings

Fantasy Basketball Inception

In "2011-12" we might witness fantasy basketball in its truest form.

The NBA lockout has been about as horrifying as sitting in between two of your friends who spontaneously decide to make out with each other in public. Of course, if those two friends were the NBA Players Association and the NBA owners, maybe it wouldn’t be so bad.

Before you start thinking too much about James Dolan getting intimate with Derek Fisher, let’s move on to the point of this post.

Fantasy basketball is, thankfully, immune to such silly things as lockouts. But what the NBA lockout does mean is that any projections made for what we call “2011-12″ are made for a season that might not happen. In other words, we’re making forecasts about fantasy basketball for a season that might not even exist — a season that may be, in fact, a fantasy.

A fantasy within a fantasy — fantasy basketball in the truest sense.

Without further ado, here are my early rankings for the top 150 fantasy basketball players in “2011-12.” (continue reading…)

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Daily Fantasy Diagnosis: 4.13.11

by on Apr.13, 2011, under Quick hits

Pau Gasol

Gasol has turned in one helluva season. (Harry How/Getty Images)

[Read the full post at DimeMag.com]

Beast of the Night: Pau Gasol put up 17 points, 17 rebounds, five assists and a block last night. He shot 58 percent (7-12) from the field, 75 percent (3-4) from the free-throw line and had no turnovers. Gasol averaged top-five numbers throughout the season, despite many of his statistics dropping a bit from their marks in 2009-10. He should have a few more years of elite fantasy basketball in him.

Lines for Discussion:
Luol Deng: 9-16 FG (56%), 3-4 FT (75%), 2 threes, 23 Pts, 10 Reb, 4 Ast, 2 TO

Lamar Odom: 9-18 FG (50%), 4-5 FT (80%), 1 three, 23 Pts, 7 Reb, 4 Ast, 1 TO (continue reading…)

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