Tag: rasheed wallace
Studs: Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett, Ray Allen, Rajon Rondo
Duds: Rasheed Wallace
The Boston Celtics probably aren’t on too many people’s short list of NBA championship contenders this season, but that doesn’t mean the team in green doesn’t have a lot to offer, especially in fantasy terms.
Their roster isn’t solidified just yet, but the addition of Wallace and, most recently, Shelden Williams (also known as the guy who married Candace Parker) gives them more frontcourt depth, which is especially necessary given the pending departure of Glen Davis. The Celtics are also in the midst of acquiring forward Marquis Daniels, but are said to be considering signing Bruce Bowen instead. Daniels would seem to be a better signing – he’s more talented and younger, which is important for this aging crew of veterans.
Besides that, everyone knows that the story here is what Pierce, Garnett, Allen and Rondo will do this year. Pierce (who remains the Celtics’ best fantasy player) and Allen shouldn’t see their values change too much, while Garnett is a big question mark. It appears he’s recovering well, but he definitely isn’t the same KG that was a king in the fantasy world for so many years. Expect him to miss a handful of games this season. Rondo, who many crowned as the next big thing after his stellar playoffs performance, will likely see a nice bump up in his value this season.
Besides those four, Wallace may offer some nice overall value here and there, but probably won’t be consistent enough to be worth a high pick and will not be as valuable as he was on the Detroit Pistons. Kendrick Perkins could lose some minutes to Wallace but his value stems from rebounds and blocks, which he should still be able to accumulate in sufficient bunches.
Relevant fantasy players and projected per-game stats:
PG: Rajon Rondo (15 points, 6 rebounds, 9 assists, 2 steals)
SG: Ray Allen (17 points, 3.5 rebounds, 3 assists, 2.5 threes)
SF: Paul Pierce (19 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists, 1.5 threes)
PF: Kevin Garnett (15 points, 8 rebounds, 3.5 assists)
C: Kendrick Perkins (7 points, 8 rebounds, 2.0 blocks)
Bench: Rasheed Wallace (10 points, 6 rebounds, 1.5 threes), Eddie House (8 points, 2 threes)
In case you were looking for another perspective on this summer’s active free agent activity and its bearing on fantasy values, here’s Brian McKitish and his view on how things will pan out for the free agents that have joined new teams this summer. He discusses Ben Gordon, Charlie Villanueva, Rasheed Wallace, Hedo Turkoglu, Ron Artest and Trevor Ariza, along with the teammates they will likely affect.
McKitish’s conclusions seem well-grounded. He makes a good point about Turkoglu’s potential value in 2009-2010:
Turkoglu is at his best when he can act as a playmaker from the forward position, but Jose Calderon is a pass-first point guard, and the Raptors won’t need Turk to create as much as he did in Orlando. Turkoglu handed out an average of 4.9 assists last season, a number that’s sure to go down as Calderon runs the show.
His discussion of Ariza’s rising value in Houston is also helpful:
Not only is Ron Artest gone, but the Rockets could miss both Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady thanks to injuries for at least the beginning of the season (if not the entire season). Suddenly, the Rockets have become a team with limited offensive options, and Ariza immediately could become a go-to player on the offensive end. And although Ariza is much better suited as a role player, his fantasy owners could be in for a treat in 2009-10. In Houston, he’ll see more minutes than ever, which will lead to a corresponding jump in statistics across the board. Expect career highs in every relevant fantasy category, but be careful with his field goal percentage because he’ll likely struggle mightily from the floor with the additional attention that he didn’t receive as a role player.
Look for Ariza to make more turnovers and commit more fouls, too.
Some quick ruminations from this past holiday weekend:
- Hedo Turkoglu signed with the Toronto Raptors on Friday after changing his mind about joining the Portland Trail Blazers. Besides giving the Raptors an even more European vibe, Turkoglu gives the team a dynamic scorer with a knack for clutch performances. Playing alongside a stellar point guard in Jose Calderon and Chris Bosh, a center who is more offensively skilled than Dwight Howard, Turkoglu will have plenty of opportunities to show off his offensive prowess. However, Bosh does not demand as much attention in the post as Howard, and the Raptors do not have a sharpshooter like Rashard Lewis to spread the floor even more, so expect Turkoglu’s scoring and assist numbers to dip a bit this season. Overall, his value will remain pretty steady, but expect him to suffer a mild case of post-big contract syndrome.
- Rasheed Wallace is joining Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen in Boston this year. This is a great move for the Celtics who have a capable low-post defender and a versatile scorer who can spread the floor for his teammates. While it’s unclear whether Wallace will start or not, he’ll see plenty of time at both the power forward and center positions and shouldn’t see his minutes dip too much from 32:12 last season. His value will take a hit since his offensive game will take a backseat, though he should see more open looks thanks to the presence of the Big Three and Rajon Rondo, an adept slasher who should get into the paint and find Wallace for plenty of open three-point looks. Expect his scoring to decline a bit and his shooting percentages to increase.
- Jason Kidd has verbally committed to re-sign with the Dallas Mavericks. He’s still a valuable asset to any team he’s on, but his fantasy impact has diminished considerably during the past two season. Expect his scoring to dip even further, possibly somewhere in the 8-8.5 points per game range. His rebounding and assists (6.2 and 8.7 per game, respectively) should remain steady. Kidd’s value remains the same. If you do end up drafting him, remember that his name carries a lot more value than his stats, which makes him great trade bait before the season actually begins.
- Mike Bibby is sticking with the Atlanta Hawks for another three years. His three-point shooting prowess (2.1 three-pointers made per game on 39.0 percent three-point shooting) was invaluable for the young Hawks last season, but with the addition of Jamal Crawford to the roster, Bibby’s production will likely decline. Crawford will bite into Bibby’s shots and minutes, so look to knock Bibby down a few spots on draft day.