Tag: ricky rubio
Rookies are the sirens of fantasy basketball. Sirens are, of course, the dangerously seductive sea nymphs in Greek mythology who lured sailors to their deaths on rocky shores with their singing. When assessing the potential fantasy value of NBA rookies, it’s easy to get caught up with their ceilings while ignoring the basements of potential. This, along with the fact that most rookies can be had in the bottom half of drafts, makes them seem pretty alluring.
But consider this: Last season, in a draft class that was arguably more talented than the one we’ll see next season, only about six or seven rookies (Blake Griffin included) turned out to be worth drafting in 2010-11. There were a handful of others that had fantasy value for spurts of last season, but they didn’t turn out to be worth spending a draft pick for. Let this be a cautionary tale for fantasy owners licking their chops at the thought of drafting a rookie when fantasy basketball drafts roll around again. (continue reading…)
Ramon Sessions has received his fair share of hype this off-season and it looks like it could be coming to an end with his agreement on a four-year, $16 million deal with the Minnesota Timberwolves, who were recently burned by Ricky Rubio. The Timberwolves, who seem to have had an undying love for point guards this summer, could still lose out on Sessions if the Milwaukee Bucks match their offer by Friday, but by all accounts that seems highly unlikely.
Sessions is a solid point guard who offers a lot of sexy potential and will be a great option for an average fantasy squad’s second-string point guard. His value will rise now that he’s leaving behind Luke Ridnour, who he was splitting minutes with on a nightly basis. Though Sessions, who played 27:30 per game last season, will see some competition from rookie Jonny Flynn, whose value saw a fleeting surge after the Rubio news, it’s likely that Sessions will win out on the majority of the available minutes at the point guard position, while it would be surprising to see Flynn get more than 20 minutes a night.
- Peja Stojakovic could be coming off the bench this season “to extend his career,” according to John Reid at The Times Picayune. While his fans will be supportive of the move to keep Stojakovic in the league for an extra couple years, fantasy owners should see this as the nail in the three-point stud’s fantasy value.
Meanwhile, third-year forward Julian Wright, who has been the object of some sleeper talk this summer, stands to benefit greatly from this news. Wright has shown off his athleticism and raw talent when given enough playing time, and though he’ll compete with the 31-year-old James Posey for minutes at the small forward spot, Wright should now officially be on your draft day radar.
- Remember Luol Deng? He used to be a reliable, productive forward for the Bulls, but then he fractured his leg and teased owners with fleetingly productive returns last season. Well, word is that he’s looking to play in a preseason game in London on Oct. 6. This is obviously positive news for Deng and fantasy team owners who are hoping to own him this year, but don’t get too high on him just yet. A solid preseason along with a good start to the regular season will cement his return to fantasy favor, but until then be sure to tamp those expectations down.
A successful return to the Bulls could mean slightly fewer minutes for John Salmons and Tyrus Thomas, but shouldn’t affect their values too drastically.
- Michael Beasley, who recently checked into a rehab hospital, is set to return to the Miami Heat for the start of training camp. This is good news for the young Beasley, who could benefit from some time on the court with his teammates again. Team president Pat Riley said, “I trust the fact that this guy is going to produce big numbers for you.” Sounds like he’s talking right at fantasy owners, doesn’t it?
While it’s great to hear that Beasley has the support of his team and that Riley seems unwavering about his hope to see his second-year forward play a more prominent role for this year’s team, Beasley shouldn’t be seen as anything more than a third-string forward in most fantasy leagues. A solid start to the season could change that, but don’t try to be bold and draft him too early.
- Houston Rockets general manager Daryl Morey has been spouting with cautious optimism for his two stars, Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady.
Morey recently told ESPN The Magazine that Yao “is progressing well.” He added that the doctors “know that the bone will heal and he’ll get back on it. And they have not actually ruled out [his return] this season. I think that’s less likely than likely, but they haven’t ruled it out.”
He also spoke well of McGrady’s progress, according to Jonathan Feigen at the Houston Chronicle. ”He’s way, way ahead of schedule… He’s already playing. I don’t think anyone could have predicted he would be playing now. He still has a long way to go. There is a lot of rust to shake off… I don’t expect to see him ready for Day 1 of training camp.”
It might be tempting to read into these statements and eye Yao or T-Mac as late-round picks to surprise and impress your opponents with your boldness, but don’t give in to that temptation.
Yao should not be drafted at all, while McGrady might be a decent waiver wire pick later on in the season, unless you’re in a deep league or are willing to stash him on your bench until he might return. When he returns to the court, he’s a hot potato you’ll want to trade away after a string of three or four consecutive solid games.
It’s understandable that Morey wants to keep the team’s fans (and himself) hopeful, and most likely wants to help ticket sales as much as possible, but for fantasy purposes his recent comments should be ignored.
- The Ricky Rubio drama is finally over: he’s heading to FC Barcelona (as previously reported) and won’t be available to the NBA until 2011. A fifth overall pick for the Minnesota Timberwolves has come to naught, which is a tragedy for the team’s thirsty fans, as well as for any NBA fan who was excited to see how the much-hyped youngster would fare with the big boys.This, of course, means that Rubio has absolutely no fantasy relevance this season. It also means that Jonny Flynn‘s stock just rose a bit.
Erik at Points in the Paint takes a thorough look at Flynn’s value this season (and explains the “Mike Conley Jr. Effect”). His assessment of Flynn as “a 3rd-string PG for your fantasy team” is conservative, but correct. Flynn is an appealing player this year and will probably be scooped up too early in many drafts on the heel of this news. He’s an undersized rookie at 6-feet tall, and most rookies struggle with inconsistency and the infamous “wall” toward the latter half of the season.
Keep your eye on Flynn, but don’t rely on him as your primary fantasy point guard.
by Jason on Aug.27, 2009, under Uncategorized
- It appears that Allen Iverson has finally received an offer, and it’s from the Memphis Grizzlies, according to Chris Sheridan at ESPN.com. This comes on the heels of a tweet on Iverson’s Twitter page saying his agent informed him of an offer from the Grizzlies. It doesn’t seem like any other offers are likely to flood the gates for Iverson, so the Grizzlies are the front-runner thus far. If he does end up in Memphis, it would dampen the values of O.J. Mayo and Mike Conley, who both have the potential to take big steps forward this season. Iverson would find himself on young, mostly talented team and would be hard-pressed to put up more than 19 points and 6 assists per night.
was reported to have signed a six-year deal with FC Barcelonacontinues to be stuck in the mire that is his contract. Reports of his signing with FC Barcelona were refuted by Minnesota Timberwolves general manager David Kahn, along with Sports Illustrated and various other outlets. The buzz about Rubio has died down quite a bit during this back-and-forth drama with DKV Joventut, his current team. The outcome of this drama clearly has the biggest consequences for Jonny Flynn, who will be the starting point guard in Minnesota if Rubio stays in Europe.
Flynn offers a lot of promise this season and should put up decent numbers as his team’s young floor leader, though he’ll inevitably see ups and downs. Chucky Atkins is Flynn’s backup and would have slight value if Rubio doesn’t join the Timberwolves, and would see his value dissipate to almost nothing if Rubio does end up coming. It seems more and more likely that Rubio won’t be joining the Timberwolves this season, but monitor this situation until its end.