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Fantasy trade analysis: Terrence Williams to Houston

by on Dec.15, 2010, under Trades

Terrence Williams

T-Will's fantasy value is bumped up a bit, but don't overreact. (MIKE CLARKE/AFP/Getty Images)

Terrence Williams will be picked up in a lot of leagues this morning, but how much optimism should he deserve? Head over to DimeMag.com to read my take on yesterday’s three-team deal that had the New Jersey Nets send Williams to the Houston Rockets and Joe Smith to the Los Angeles Lakers. In return, the Nets will receive Sasha Vujacic from the Lakers along with a 2011 first-round pick, and a Lottery-protected 2012 first-round pick from the Rockets. The Rockets also sent Jermaine Taylor to the Sacramento Kings for a future second-round pick in order to make room for Williams.

If you want a quick and dirty summary, here you go: (continue reading…)

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Team analysis: Los Angeles Lakers

by on Sep.27, 2010, under Team analysis

Pau Gasol

Don't be deceived -- this awkward-looking dude is one of the best big men in fantasy basketball. (zugaldia/Flickr)

Depth chart:
PG: Derek Fisher, Steve Blake
SG: Kobe Bryant, Shannon Brown, Sasha Vujacic
SF: Ron Artest, Matt Barnes, Devin Ebanks, Luke Walton
PF: Pau Gasol, Lamar Odom, Derrick Caracter
C: Andrew Bynum, Theo Ratliff

Relevant fantasy players and projected draft positions/per-game stats:
Kobe Bryant – SG (Rd. 1): 26 Pts, 1.5 threes, 5 Reb, 5 Ast, 1.5 Stl
Pau Gasol – F/C (Rd. 1): 19.5 Pts, 12 Reb, 3.5 Ast, 2 Blk
Andrew Bynum – C (Rd. 6-9): 13 Pts, 7.5 Reb, 1.5 Blk
Lamar Odom – F (Rd. 7-10):  12 Pts, 9.5 Reb, 3 Ast, 1 Stl, 1 Blk
Ron Artest – G/F (Rd. 11-12): 10.5 Pts, 1.5 threes, 4.5 Reb, 3 Ast, 1.5 Stl
Steve Blake – G (Rd. 13+):  6 Pts, 1 three, 4 Ast, 1 Stl
Matt Barnes – G/F (Rd. 13+): 6 Pts, 1 three, 3 Reb
Derek Fisher – PG (Rd. 13+): 6.5 Pts, 1 three, 1 Stl (continue reading…)

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Miller signs with the Trail Blazers

by on Jul.24, 2009, under Free agents

It’s official: you can take Andre Miller’s name off of this morning’s post about the top 10 available free agents.

The underrated point guard has left the Philadelphia 76ers to join the Portland Trail Blazers, reportedly signing a 3-year deal worth $21 million, with $14 million guaranteed and the other $7 million as a third-year option.

Let’s get right to it.

Fantasy impact:

  • Portland:
    • Miller is now a Trail Blazer, which is good news for his fantasy value. (Flickr/bucko73us)

      Miller is now a Trail Blazer, which is good news for his fantasy value. (Flickr/bucko73us)

      Miller now has many offensive options to pass the ball to.  Last season, with Elton Brand out for the majority of the year, Andre Iguodala was essentially the only reliable teammate Miller had on offense.  As a Trail Blazer, he now has Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge as his go-to guys, not to mention other capable scorers like Rudy Fernandez and Travis Outlaw.  Expect Miller’s numbers to return to 2006-07 form, with 13 points, 4.5 rebounds and 8.5 assists per game as feasible expectations.  It may take him a few weeks to get used to his new teammates, but expect nothing short of a strong fantasy season for the new Trail Blazer.

    • Roy now has a very competent partner in the backcourt who can handle the ball in pressure situations.  Don’t expect his numbers to change too drastically now that Miller’s here.  His points will probably see a boost and his assists might see a minor dip, but any change in Roy’s nightly stats should help his overall fantasy value, which is already quite high.  His development can only be helped by Miller’s presence.
    • Aldridge was already on an upward climb and the addition of Miller shouldn’t change that too much.  It will be interesting to see how Miller plays with Aldridge, given that the former 76ers point guard was only given 29 games to play with Brand, another skilled offensive power forward.
    • Steve Blake, the starting point guard for the Trail Blazers, has the most to lose here.  He’ll obviously see fewer minutes, which means that his fantasy value will be minor and only relevant in deeper leagues where his three-point shooting prowess will be helpful.  It’s a shame because Blake was an underrated fantasy point guard and showed flashes of real talent last season.
    • Greg Oden has resorted to seeing a psychologist to help him rebuild his confidence.  Miller might do some to help in that area, too.  While Oden’s teammates can offer encouragement through words, Miller will be able to encourage him the most on the court.  Don’t expect a huge improvement from Oden, but his natural talent and his new point guard’s guidance will most likely breathe some new life into the discouraged big man.  However, as always, his health is his worst enemy.
    • Jerryd Bayless, the second-year point guard who has shown that he can play in this league, will see his playing time held down by Miller’s arrival.
  • Philadelphia:
    • Louis Williams is the biggest winner here.  He’s got the starting point guard job now and will see way more than the 23:41 per night he saw last season.  Williams is a surefire scorer, but shoots a low percentage from the field.  Look for about 15 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists per game from Williams, with a low field goal percentage.
    • Jrue Holiday, the rookie point guard who is now the team’s second in command at the point, is still probably too raw to make any kind of fantasy impact this season.  He’ll get more minutes than he would have if Miller had re-signed, but don’t get your hopes up too high for Holiday.
    • Look for the rest of the 76ers roster to hurt a bit from Miller’s departure.  Williams isn’t as much of a distributor as Miller was, and with two green point guards the 76ers’ offense will be a bit rough around the edges.
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